CINCINNATI – Leaning on a shovel as his three-man
landscaping crew turned over sod at a local shopping mall,
Jude Adkins stewed over what he considers the personal
economic threat posed by low-wage competitors.
“The kind of work we do, the Mexicans are basically
cutting our throats. They shouldn't be here,” declared the
30-year-old owner of an outdoor services company. “They
should be arrested immediately and gotten the heck out of
here.”
Adkins' remarks underscored the roiling emotions that
have made illegal immigration a hot-button issue in a
congressional race more than 1,800 miles from San Diego
and the U.S.-Mexico border.
The closely contested battle in Ohio between Republican
incumbent Steve Chabot and Democratic challenger John
Cranley is not unique. Candidates in such disparate states
as Arizona, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Montana, Indiana,
Georgia and Minnesota are focusing, with varying degrees
of intensity, on immigration.
Congress has groped – futilely so far – for a solution
to the challenges posed by the estimated 12 million
illegal immigrants who have settled in communities across
the nation.
Like Chabot, many GOP candidates – and some Democrats –
have framed the remedy in terms of border security, with
the centerpiece solution embodied in a bill awaiting
President Bush's signature: 700 miles of fence along the
most porous points of the 2,000-mile border. In so doing,
they have tacitly repudiated Bush's insistence on a
comprehensive solution that includes a path to
citizenship, saying his approach would amount to “amnesty”
– a dirty word in today's political climate.

CARRIE COCHRAN / The Enquirer
First lady Laura Bush appeared with Ohio Rep. Steve
Chabot at a campaign event in Cincinnati. Chabot is
trying to extend his 12-year stint in the House.
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For Republicans, exploiting popular anger over illegal
immigration may help mobilize their core voters, who might
otherwise stay home on Election Day in discouragement over
an increasingly unpopular war in Iraq, a huge federal
deficit and the scandal over a former congressman's
sexually explicit electronic messages to congressional
pages.
That strategy could be risky over the longer term given
U.S. Census Bureau statistics that project decades of
growth for the Latino population. Many political experts
link the weakening of the Republican Party in California
to then-Gov. Pete Wilson's hard-line stance on Hispanic
immigration during the early 1990s.
“I think it would be a very bad strategy for our party
to decide we are going to rerun the Pete Wilson 1990
campaign – you know, we are the party that hates
immigrants more. That would be disastrous for us,” said
Brian Nienaber, a Republican pollster.
But many Republicans see a more immediate problem in
predictions that the GOP could lose as many as 30 seats –
and its majority – in the House. Democrats must gain 15
seats to regain the majority they lost in 1994.

GARY LANDERS / The Enquirer
Democrat John Cranley, who hopes to unseat Chabot,
paid in August to lower the price of gasoline
temporarily to $1.26 a gallon at a station in West
Price Hill.
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“I think they have thrown caution to the winds,” said
Gary Jacobson, a political scientist at the University of
California San Diego. “They are far more interested in
short-term political gain than they are on long-run
political damage. I think they have discounted the future
pretty heavily. It is based on their individual districts.
This is not something that is going to come back and haunt
Chabot in his district.”
At first glance, the Cincinnati area would seem an
unlikely flash point in the immigration debate, which
burns with greatest intensity this year in places like
Arizona, whose 361-mile border with Mexico has been the
crossing point of choice for many illegal entries. Whereas
a third of Arizona's population is Latino, the 2000 census
found that 1.3 percent of Cincinnati's population of
317,361 claims that ethnic background.
Perhaps more significant politically is that the
Hispanic population of Cincinnati and surrounding Hamilton
County grew by 83 percent during the 1990s, according to
the Census Bureau. The suddenness of that development has
captured the attention of longer-term residents, some of
whom feel threatened by the newcomers.
A recent reader survey by The Cincinnati Enquirer
reflected that unease, finding that illegal
immigration ranks with crime and drugs as the top concern
of voters this year.
The anxieties prompted Chabot and Cranley to trade
angry television ads attacking each other's record on
immigration.
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With polls showing a tight race, Chabot, a 12-year
congressional veteran, triggered the fight with an ad
accusing Cranley, a member of the Cincinnati City Council,
of supporting “amnesty” for illegal immigrants.
Chabot based his claim on a council vote cast by
Cranley in March supporting a bill sponsored by Sen. John
McCain, an Arizona Republican. The measure outlined a
comprehensive approach similar to Bush's.
Cranley fired back with an ad chastising Chabot for
doing nothing to solve the immigration problem and for
backing several measures that Cranley characterized as
providing an amnesty for illegal immigrants.
Bush has promised to sign the border security bill that
includes the fence. But in a news conference last week, he
argued that the problem is too complex to lend itself to
an enforcement-only solution. He renewed his support for a
temporary guest-worker program that would allow immigrants
into the country for limited time to work on specified
jobs.
“You can't fence the entire border,” Bush said. “I
happen to believe that in order to make the entire border
secure we need a guest-worker program so people aren't
sneaking in in the first place.”
Chabot last spring dissented from that approach,
saying, “I think it is a mistake to even consider a
guest-worker program until we have better control of our
borders.”
White House press secretary Tony Snow said that Bush,
too, opposes amnesty, contending illegal immigrants would
have to pay penalties and meet other conditions to gain
legal status. He said that the president's detailed
proposal constitutes “a real test of desire to figure out
who wants to be an American citizen.”
“I think people who clear those hurdles will have
demonstrated their bona fides,” he said.
In Ohio, where state government scandals have left the
Republican Party in disarray, generating excitement among
the GOP faithful could be crucial to candidates like
Chabot and may explain his decision to invest in three
separate television ads devoted to the illegal immigration
issue.
While the issue helped Rep. Brian Bilbray, R-Carlsbad,
capture Randy “Duke” Cunningham's vacant House seat in
June's special election, it has not figured prominently in
the fall campaigns in California.
That may be due in part to the absence of competitive
congressional races in November, Jacobson said.