WASHINGTON – With housing foreclosures growing, the
stock market acting like a roller coaster and fears of a
recession mounting, the economy is edging its way higher
on the list of voter anxieties.

All three leading contenders for the Democratic
presidential nomination – Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barak
Obama and John Edwards – have offered comprehensive plans
to ease the burden of health care on stressed family
budgets.
The top Republicans – Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Fred
Thompson and John McCain – have promised to crack down on
illegal immigration, a source of job insecurity for many
middle-class workers.
Bubbling on the back burner is a potentially huge
shouting match over a Democratic demand to roll back
President Bush's upper-income tax cuts to fund programs
that serve broader economic classes versus the GOP's push
to make those cuts permanent.
That debate probably won't get really loud until the
general election, but it may become the defining economic
issue of the campaign. Democrats frame it as a matter of
fairness; Republicans argue that low taxes for an affluent
investor class is the most efficient route to economic
growth.
So far, discussion of economic issues has been largely
background noise.
“Iraq is sucking all the oxygen out of the room –
everyone is focusing on that,” observed Alan Abramowitz,
an expert on electoral politics at Emory University.
The economy looms on the campaign trail. Health care
and illegal immigration have emerged as proxies for a
broader economic malaise. The list of specific bromides
goes on: middle-class tax cuts, protectionist trade
policies, crackdowns on job outsourcing, and denunciations
of supply-side economics (from Democrats) and
tax-and-spend profligacy (from Republicans).
But with economic forecasters scratching their heads
over whether we're headed for a recession or continued
modest growth, candidates in both parties have not
squarely confronted the issue of the economy's overall
health, even while engaging in an increasingly partisan
debate over taxes.
“In terms of the overall economy, everyone wants to
wait and see. No one is sure where we're heading here,”
Abramowitz said. “The candidates are reluctant to propose
anything very drastic because they're not sure what's
going to happen. If we go into a full-fledged recession,
you'll see more dramatic proposals.”
With the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates to
assuage the uncertainty now clouding the economic outlook,
there can be no doubt that voters are growing nervous
about their jobs, houses and pocketbooks.
In the past month alone, pollsters say, the souring
public mood over the economy has been stark.
“They are hearing the word 'recession' for the first
time, and they're hearing it over and over,” said pollster
John Zogby. “The public mood is not just dark. What's
darker than dark? The mood is getting ugly.”
But, he acknowledged, “There isn't an economic bumper
sticker yet.”