WASHINGTON - Sen. Barack Obama will formally launch his
presidential campaign in Springfield on Feb. 10 - two days
before Abraham Lincoln's birthday.
Obama, who just three years ago was serving in the Illinois
Senate, took the first formal step Tuesday toward a presidential
bid eagerly anticipated by some Democrats, creating a
presidential exploratory committee. The move allows him to start
raising money and begin building a campaign.
An Obama aide said the formal announcement is planned for the
state capital, where Lincoln lived before becoming the nation's
16th president. No specific site was announced.
Springfield, with its Lincoln connections, would provide a
symbolic backdrop for Obama, a Chicago Democrat who portrays
himself as a uniter.
"It's not the magnitude of our problems that concerns me the
most. It's the smallness of our politics," Obama said in a
videotaped announcement e-mailed to his supporters Tuesday.
"America's faced big problems before. But today our leaders
in Washington seem incapable of working together in a practical,
common-sense way."
"We have to change our politics and come together around our
common interests and concerns as Americans," Obama said,
announcing his exploratory committee on his Web site,
www.barackobama.com.
Announcing in Springfield would highlight the city's
historical connections to Lincoln, who led the nation through
the Civil War and the struggle to end slavery.
If successful, Obama would become the nation's first black
president.
Obama, 45, has served just two years in the U.S. Senate,
making him less experienced than many other presidential
contenders, but that may not be a liability among voters
frustrated by partisanship in Washington.
The senior senator from Illinois, Democrat Dick Durbin,
welcomed Obama's decision, while noting "it's still a long
journey to the White House."
"Barack Obama brings to this race a promise of reconciliation
and a feeling of hope that America desperately needs," Durbin
said.
Obama rose to political stardom after his speech at the
Democratic National Convention in 2004. After that, his
decade-old autobiography, "Dreams of My Father: A Story of Race
and Inheritance," became a best-seller.
His second book, "The Audacity of Hope: Thoughts on
Reclaiming the American Dream," was released last fall and
helped generate even more attention as he raised money for
Democratic candidates. Oprah Winfrey has endorsed him.
He's considered a top contender for the Democratic
nomination, along with Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York,
who is expected to make her announcement soon.
Other Democrats who have announced their intentions to run
include 2004 vice presidential nominee John Edwards, former Iowa
Gov. Tom Vilsack, Connecticut Sen. Chris Dodd and Ohio Rep.
Dennis Kucinich.
Obama's decision may underline Iraq as the dominant issue in
the 2008 campaign. Obama can appeal to the party's strong
anti-war sentiment by contrasting his opposition to the conflict
with the votes cast by Clinton and Edwards authorizing the 2003
invasion.
"He is the current candidate to be in the top billing as the
anti-Hillary," said Larry Sabato, a political scientist at the
University of Virginia. "He scrambles the field for Hillary in
that he has the charisma and command of the national media to
really challenge her."
Obama appears likely to start out well behind Clinton, and
possibly Edwards, in fundraising and organizing. Both factors
are certain to be important when voters start selecting the
nominees early next year in a tightly compressed set of caucuses
and primary elections.
"There is going to be a premium placed on who can raise a lot
of money before the first primaries and caucuses begin," said
Alan Abramowitz, a political scientist at Emory University.
"That's where we know Hillary Clinton is going to have plenty of
money. The question is, who else is going to have the money if
she falters?"
Unlike Jesse Jackson, whose candidacies in 1984 and 1988 were
mainly symbolic, Obama launches his exploration as a serious and
plausible effort to elect a black candidate to the presidency.
That could complicate Clinton's plans because she was assumed
to have a strong appeal to black voters, who were among the
strongest supporters of her husband, Bill Clinton, when he was
president. Those voters also constitute perhaps the most loyal
element in the Democratic Party's base.
If Obama becomes a declared candidate and survives the early
tests of the Iowa and Nevada caucuses and the New Hampshire
primary, he may be in a position to challenge Clinton in the
South Carolina primary, where a large black vote could be
decisive.
"The idea of an African-American candidate is something
that's appealing to a lot of people - a lot of Democrats
certainly," said Abramowitz. "When he gets into a general
election, are there some voters out there who would be reluctant
to vote for a candidate just because he's African-American?
Yeah, there probably are still some. ... Most of those people
wouldn't vote for any Democrat, so I don't see it as an enormous
handicap."
Obama's freshness on the national scene has its pluses and
minuses, Sabato noted.
"The negative is that he may not be able to convince people
that he has the experience to be president. The positive is that
he has very little record to attack," Sabato said.
In New Hampshire, state Sen. Lou D'Allesandro, a prominent
Democratic activist, said he doubted that Obama would be
handicapped either by money problems or by difficulties in
organizing for the nation's first primary.
"He may surprise people in that he may attract a new group of
younger people into this process," said D'Allesandro. "As far as
raising the money is concerned, if people think you're going to
win, they're going to give you money."
Obama's revelations about his drug use in high school and
college - contained in his first book - raise questions about
whether his youthful behavior could come back to haunt him.
Many political experts doubt that his admissions would prove
troublesome in the primary.
"I think the voters don't care very much. Clinton took a lot
of that off of the table," said Andrew Smith, an independent
pollster at the University of New Hampshire. "Plus, you have to
remember that now the great bulk of voters out there are baby
boomers - and they were all doing a lot of that sort of stuff
back when they were in high school, so they can all relate to
it."
Obama was born in Hawaii, where his parents had met in
college. His father was Kenyan, and his mother was a white
American. They divorced when he was 2. He was raised in
Indonesia and Hawaii. He moved to Chicago in 1985, where he
worked as a community organizer with a church-based group.
He is a graduate of Columbia University and Harvard Law
School and was the first black president of the Harvard Law
Review. After Harvard, Obama returned to Chicago to practice as
a civil rights lawyer and to teach constitutional law at the
University of Chicago.
He served in the Illinois Senate from 1997 to 2004, gaining a
reputation as a consensus-builder with liberal stands on the
issues.
Joining the U.S. Senate in 2005, he carefully tended to
Illinois issues for the first year and insisted he had no higher
aspirations. But in the second year, he began building his
resume with several foreign trips as a member of the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee, and he's been out in front of other
Democrats as an outspoken proponent of ethics reform.
His wife, Michelle, also a Harvard Law School graduate, works
as an administrator for the University of Chicago Hospitals.
They have two children, Malia and Sasha.
Dori Meinert can be reached at 202-737-7686 or dori.meinert@copleydc.com.
Finlays Lewis can be reached at 202-737-7683 or finlay.lewis@copleydc.com.