The first signal of the Alpine Republican's interest in
running for president came in an interview broadcast on
the Fox News Channel yesterday morning, when he said his
announcement at downtown San Diego's waterfront will be
“about a national campaign in '08.”
Hunter's ambitions come as a surprise to other
Republicans, none of whom had an inkling that he might
look to jump into what is likely to be a crowded field for
the GOP presidential nomination. But even more shocking is
that he would do this a week before the midterm election
that may shift control of the House to the Democrats and
cost Hunter his chairmanship of the House Armed Services
Committee. Hunter is running for re-election Nov. 7.
“To say it's curious timing is quite an understatement.
It is bizarre,” said Stuart Rothenberg, the editor of an
independent political newsletter in Washington. “It does
suggest he figures he's going to have some time on his
hands, that he won't have to worry about running hearings
and fashioning legislation. He must figure one of his
Democratic colleagues will be taking care of that.”
Charlie Cook, another nonpartisan political analyst,
was similarly baffled by the timing. “He may not be the
only prominent committee chairman looking for something
else to do after next week,” he said. “But this is very
strange timing.”
Hunter could not be reached for comment after his
appearance on Fox.
Under Republican caucus term limits, Hunter would have
to give up his chairmanship in 2009. But if Democrats pick
up the 15 seats they need to regain the House, Hunter
would be relegated to the minority status he chafed under
during his first 14 years in Congress.
The decision by the 13-term congressman comes as he is
at the peak of his influence in Washington. An analysis
released last week by the nonpartisan group Knowlegis
ranked Hunter as the ninth-most influential member of the
House.
That ranking came after a particularly successful
session in which he pushed through the defense
authorization bill and played a major role in legislation
involving tribunals for accused terrorists and building a
fence along the border with Mexico. On bills important
locally, Hunter played the major role in blocking civilian
use of the Marine runways at Miramar and transferring
control of the cross atop Mount Soledad to the federal
government.
Despite this legislative clout, Hunter is little known
beyond Capitol Hill.
“This is a guy who truly does have zero name
recognition in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina. Unless
he has a family member living in one of those key early
states, nobody there has ever heard of him,” Rothenberg
said.
Of course, announcing that he is exploring a
presidential candidacy does not mean Hunter thinks he can
be elected. He is expected to commit himself only to
“exploring” such a run, which would mean fundraising and
trips to those states that play a role early in the
nominating process.
No member of the House has been elected president since
James A. Garfield in 1880. Members who have tried and
failed in recent years include Republicans John Kasich of
Ohio and Jack Kemp of New York and Democrats Richard
Gephardt of Missouri and Dennis Kucinich of Ohio.
Cook speculated that Hunter, a Vietnam veteran, may be
most interested in making sure that his brand of Reagan
conservatism and pro-military policies – he is a staunch
supporter of the war in Iraq – are represented in a GOP
field currently more notable for the more moderate views
of Sen. John McCain of Arizona, Gov. Mitt Romney of
Massachusetts and Rudolph Giuliani of New York.