COUNCIL BLUFFS, Iowa – Pat Snook knows what he wants
even if he still hasn't settled on whom he will support
when Iowa Democrats hold their presidential caucuses in
just over four weeks.
“Right there,” the 45-year-old systems analyst said as
he jabbed his finger at a campaign brochure with the word
“CHANGE” in bold letters. “I want it.”
That was good news for the candidate who had put out
the brochure, Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, who has based
his campaign on a promise of change. It was bad news for
Obama's main competitor, New York Sen. Hillary Rodham
Clinton.
“No way! No,” Snook all but shouted when asked if he
would support Clinton. “We've been governed by Clintons
and Bushes for 20 years, and it's time for them to go. We
don't need another one. That wouldn't be change.”
Snook had come to a middle school cafeteria early on a
cold and dreary morning to listen to Obama make his pitch,
hoping it would help him choose between Obama and former
North Carolina Sen. John Edwards.
For Obama, the speech was another sign that his
campaign is hitting its stride at just the right moment,
as Iowa gears up to take the first official step in the
2008 presidential election with the caucuses on Jan. 3.
At Council Bluffs, Obama attracted about 400 Iowans.
Later in the day, he drew similarly large and enthusiastic
audiences in Dunlap, Harlan and Audubon. Except for
Clinton, no other candidate in either party is drawing so
many people.
Gone is the somewhat tentative candidate who almost
seemed aloof and wary of voters earlier in the campaign.
Instead, here was a folksy, relaxed Obama who used humor
to great effect and fed off the energy of the crowds.

“He's doing retail
politics better than he was before, and he's being less of
a law professor and a little bit more of the ambitious
politician,” said Peverill Squire, a longtime expert on
the caucuses at the University of Iowa.
Almost everything has gone right for Obama in the past
three weeks in Iowa. He gave a rousing and well-received
speech at the state party's big Jefferson-Jackson Day
dinner on Nov. 10 and got a momentum boost from the
release of a poll Nov. 19 showing him narrowly ahead of
Clinton here – even though statistically, the poll showed
them virtually tied. The next day, he drummed up more
excitement by announcing that Oprah Winfrey is headed
toward Iowa to stump for him.
“We built the best organization, and now the candidate
is getting hot at the right time,” said Gordon Fischer,
the Des Moines lawyer who headed the state party four
years ago and now is a senior adviser to the Obama
campaign. “With Oprah coming, there is a real sense of
movement and momentum here.”
Cary Covington, who teaches a course on the Iowa
caucuses at the University of Iowa, said the Winfrey
announcement “has created quite a buzz” in the state and
gives Obama a chance to take some momentum into the final
weeks of the Iowa campaign.
“He kind of arrived all at once and staked himself to
20 percent of the electorate. But then he just plateaued
and didn't go anywhere,” Covington said. “Now it looks
like he is breaking out of his plateau. That is the thing
that his people have to be most excited about – he's
getting out of this static situation of not being able to
grow his base of support.”
The Nov. 19 ABC/Washington Post poll had Obama
at 30 percent, Clinton at 26 percent and former North
Carolina Sen. John Edwards at 22 percent. Polls before and
since show Clinton with at least a slim lead or tied with
Obama.
When addressing audiences, Obama is both easy and
energized as he hammers home the message of change.
“I hear candidates saying, 'Elect me because I've been
in Washington a long time and I know how to play the game
better,' ” Obama said in a visit to a cattle auction house
in Dunlap. “We don't need somebody who knows how to play
the game better. We need somebody who can put an end to
the game playing.”
And he mocked those who say he is too naive or too
inexperienced in the ways of Washington. He said they call
him “a hope-monger, a hope-peddler.” To applause, he
added: “I oftentimes tell people in Washington (that) part
of the reason you don't have a lot of hope is because
you've been in Washington too long. . . . I keep thinking
they want me to stew and season in Washington longer. They
want to boil all the hope out of me.”
As always, Obama's target in this vein is Clinton, even
if he doesn't mention her by name. He invokes the change
theme frequently on Iraq. He opposed the war from the
beginning; Clinton did not.
Although themes on change and the war resonate with
many Democrats, some remain troubled by Obama's lack of
experience at age 46.
“For me, it is Hillary's experience versus Obama's
change,” said Russ Lombardo, 55, a drug counselor in
Council Bluffs. “When I think of Hillary, I think about
that 16 to 18 years of experience that she has in that
arena. When I think of Obama, I like what he has to say
about being more engaged in the world community and less
trying to be the world's policeman.”
Everette Carroll, 66, a retired schoolteacher in
Harlan, also is torn.
“Obama is putting out a message that people want to
hear – change, but not terribly drastic change,” he said.
But Carroll is bothered by “his lack of political
experience, especially overseas at a time of war.”
But Fischer, the campaign adviser, said more Iowans are
coming over to Obama.
“The trends are clear – Obama is going up, Hillary is
staying the same or dropping a little, and Edwards is
definitely dropping,” Fischer said.
The caucus system presents a great unknown. Analysts
say Clinton and Obama are attracting a number of potential
first-time caucusgoers, who historically have a spotty
record of showing up when it counts.
At the least, Obama is going to make Jan. 3 an
interesting night, said Squire, the caucus expert.
“He has weathered the Hillary storm and, at least in
Iowa, is still slugging it out toe-to-toe with her,”
Squire said.